Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 5.925943 6.542796 7.201231 7.957194 8.802203 9.718837 10.790042
2025-12-21 4.948176 5.801511 6.774626 7.970087 9.404095 11.075020 13.178348
2025-12-28 4.363296 5.381212 6.608885 8.207239 10.245822 12.775593 16.178518
2026-01-04 3.899797 5.021598 6.441114 8.384658 11.000396 14.432672 19.333015
2026-01-11 3.488676 4.661950 6.209472 8.423380 11.547396 15.855155 22.344036
2026-01-18 3.122014 4.308837 5.932015 8.345780 11.898123 17.019359 25.117375
2026-01-25 2.809419 3.990001 5.657585 8.224953 12.149689 18.041739 27.783874
2026-02-01 2.544846 3.708614 5.401069 8.090289 12.346875 18.980463 30.413805
2026-02-08 2.317899 3.458065 5.160919 7.946274 12.499145 19.845596 33.010715
2026-02-15 2.143645 3.269386 4.993400 7.891956 12.777414 20.928031 36.095039
2026-02-22 2.040406 3.180246 4.969643 8.061395 13.434594 22.704721 40.625927
2026-03-01 1.907648 3.031518 4.835403 8.029693 13.737076 23.888925 44.213290
2026-03-08 1.755083 2.840882 4.620842 7.847706 13.768958 24.616644 47.086319
2026-03-15 1.642902 2.708467 4.492440 7.803675 14.045044 25.826154 51.091776
2026-03-22 1.582621 2.659149 4.501395 8.006014 14.800789 28.037978 57.494945
2026-03-29 1.520016 2.600282 4.487724 8.163544 15.485283 30.189570 64.105666
2026-04-05 1.443849 2.510999 4.411435 8.193526 15.917872 31.876767 69.946229
2026-04-12 1.359266 2.399847 4.285719 8.114482 16.117561 33.094538 74.889763
2026-04-19 1.276856 2.286529 4.146804 7.995485 16.219101 34.108338 79.501448
2026-04-26 1.199915 2.177894 4.008296 7.864052 16.278563 35.032504 84.036020
2026-05-03 1.128288 2.074354 3.871780 7.724036 16.303364 35.878032 88.504527
2026-05-10 1.072198 1.996938 3.780678 7.671171 16.516654 37.188073 94.415990
2026-05-17 1.043550 1.971211 3.790440 7.835237 17.243097 39.818821 104.388932